Bitcoin has recently regained the spotlight in the financial markets as volatility makes a comeback. With rapid price swings over the past few days, traders are finding it increasingly difficult to identify ideal entry and exit points. As a result, more investors are turning to technical indicators for precision-driven analysis and forecasts.
In this article, we provide a detailed Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) analysis based on the 4-hour chart from Binance, updated as of May 28, 2025. Utilizing key indicators such as MACD, moving averages, and trading volume, we break down both short-term and mid-term market movements. You’ll also find clearly quantified probabilities for both upward and downward price trends, helping you make more informed trading decisions.
Keep reading to discover how AI-driven chart analysis can give you an edge in navigating current Bitcoin price action.
Bitcoin has recently regained the spotlight in the financial markets as volatility makes a comeback. With rapid price swings over the past few days, traders are finding it increasingly difficult to identify ideal entry and exit points. As a result, more investors are turning to technical indicators for precision-driven analysis and forecasts.
In this article, we provide a detailed Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) analysis based on the 4-hour chart from Binance, updated as of May 28, 2025. Utilizing key indicators such as MACD, moving averages, and trading volume, we break down both short-term and mid-term market movements. You’ll also find clearly quantified probabilities for both upward and downward price trends, helping you make more informed trading decisions.
Keep reading to discover how AI-driven chart analysis can give you an edge in navigating current Bitcoin price action.
📈 BTC/USDT 4H Chart Technical Analysis (Binance)
Closing Price: $108,963.41 (as of 11:58 UTC, May 28, 2025)
🔍 Key Technical Indicator Summary
✅ 1. Moving Averages (MA Cross)
- 7-period MA: $109,318.71 → Price is below = short-term bearish signal
- 99-period MA: $106,276.27 → Strong mid-term support zone
Current price trades below short-term MA but above mid-term MA = bearish short-term, bullish mid-term structure.
✅ 2. MACD (12,26,9)
- MACD Line: 172.51
- Signal Line: 277.66
- Histogram: -105.14 (negative and expanding)
The MACD histogram has turned negative again, signaling a continuation of bearish momentum in the short term.
✅ 3. Volume
- Recent volume is decreasing, indicating increased market indecision and trader caution.
✅ 4. Price Structure
- Key Resistance Levels: $109,318 / $110,500
- Key Support Levels: $106,276 (99 MA) / $105,000 (psychological)
📊 Overall Market Outlook
| Category | Bullish Probability | Bearish Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24-Hour Short-Term | 🔼 42% | 🔽 58% |
| 3–7 Day Mid-Term | 🔼 63% | 🔽 37% |
🔎 Short-Term Outlook:
- Bearish MACD crossover and price below 7-MA indicate potential pullback
- Failure to reclaim $109,000 may lead to retesting $106,200 support
🔎 Mid-Term Outlook:
- Holding above 99-MA ($106,276) maintains bullish structure
- A breakout above $110,000 could quickly push price toward the $112,000–$114,000 zone
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