Once again, Bitcoin rose by about 1% yesterday.
I was secretly hoping for a 3% increase, but I guess that was just my personal wish.
Although the rise was smaller than expected, it made me realize I should probably manage my expectations—especially when using 30x leverage, which is already quite high.
Still, with an official return of 1100% this month, I’d say things are going pretty well.
(Though it’s a bit of a secret that most of that came from the weekend’s hot market.)
Anyway, let’s move on to today’s prediction:
It’s showing a third consecutive trading day of upward momentum.
AI Bitcoin chart predictor (http://aireporthub.com)
📈 Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 4H Chart – Bullish Momentum Building for Short-Term Surge
✅ Automatic chart analysis from image uploads – Easy to use, even for beginners
✅ Calculates probability of price increase/decrease – High-precision prediction algorithm based on backtesting
✅ Analysis based on essential indicators like MACD, RSI, Fibonacci – Fully quantified insights
🔍 Technical Breakdown
1. Current Price:
➤ $107,830.55 (as of last 4H candle close)
➤ Slight retrace of -0.08%, indicating consolidation post-recovery.
2. Moving Averages:
- MA 21 (Yellow): $105,553
- MA 7 (Green): $106,012
- MA 99 (Not shown numerically but inferred trend is supportive)
➡️ Bullish crossover has occurred (7MA > 21MA), confirming a momentum reversal to the upside.
➡️ Price is trading above all key moving averages, showing sustained upward pressure and suggesting buyers are regaining control.
3. MACD Analysis:
- MACD Line: 1,196.48
- Signal Line: 889.32
- Histogram: +307.16 and rising
✅ Bullish MACD crossover confirmed, with strong divergence between MACD and Signal Line, reinforcing bullish momentum.
✅ The MACD histogram turning sharply positive after extended contraction is a historically reliable bullish precursor on the 4H timeframe.
🔮 24H Short-Term Forecast (Probability-Weighted)
| Scenario | Target Price | Probability (%) |
|---|---|---|
| Bullish Momentum | $110,400 – $111,500 | 58% |
| Minor Retrace | $106,500 (support retest) | 22% |
| Sideways Range | $107,000 – $108,000 | 20% |
Inference: The combination of the moving average crossover, MACD divergence, and momentum surge suggests a likely price increase of 2-3% in the next 24 hours, targeting the $110K–$111.5K range.
📊 Support and Resistance Levels
- Immediate Support: $106,000 (MA Cluster Zone)
- Major Support: $105,000 (Fib confluence zone + 99MA level)
- Key Resistance: $110,500 (psychological and recent swing high)
- Next Resistance: $112,000 (historical breakout point)
📅 Mid-Term Outlook (3–5 days)
🟩 Bullish Continuation Bias remains intact, especially if BTC can hold above $106K.
- A clean break and 4H close above $110.5K could open the door for a surge toward $113,000–$114,500, aligning with Fibonacci 1.618 extension of the recent rally leg.
📈 Probability of continuation toward $114K within 5 days: 68%
📌 Summary
- Momentum: Strong Bullish
- MACD & MA Crossovers: Aligned Bullish
- Trend Structure: Higher Lows Forming, Momentum Reclaim
- Short-Term Bias: Bullish with high confidence
- Next 24H Target Zone: $110,400 – $111,500
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