With Bitcoin’s price hovering around the $105,000 mark in early June, many traders are unsure whether we’re seeing a bullish consolidation or the start of a deeper correction. In this kind of volatile market, relying purely on instinct is risky — what’s truly needed is data-driven technical analysis and statistically sound predictions.
That’s why in today’s post, we’ll dive into a professional-level chart analysis using the Bitcoin Chart Predictor (http://aicharts.co.kr). We’ll break down the 4-hour BTC/USD chart and apply key indicators such as MACD, Moving Averages, Fibonacci Retracement, and more. To top it off, we include precise probabilities for both upward and downward movements, helping you make informed decisions in your trading strategy.
Whether you’re day trading or swing trading, this analysis will give you the edge you’re looking for. 🚀
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🔍 Technical Indicator Overview:
- Price Action:
Current BTC price: $105,090
Immediate resistance: $107,161 (99 MA)
Immediate support: $104,701
The price is currently consolidating just below both the 7/21 MA Cross (~$105,300) and the 99 MA (~$107,169) – indicating a potential coiled breakout move. - Moving Averages (MA):
- The 7/21 MA cross remains marginally bullish, with price hovering near the shorter-term average.
- The 99-period MA acts as a magnet and potential springboard at ~$107,169.
- MACD (12, 26, close):
- MACD Line: -129.34, Signal Line: -164.24, Histogram: +34.90
- Bullish divergence forming: The histogram has flipped to green territory, and MACD is converging upward, hinting at increasing momentum.
- Volume:
Moderate and steady volume profile – sufficient to support a price leg higher if momentum continues to build over the next 8–16 hours.
🔐 Key Bullish Signals:
- MACD Histogram Flip: First signs of bullish momentum resumption.
- Moving Average Squeeze: The tight price cluster around the short-term and long-term MAs signals an impending directional breakout.
- Consolidation Base: Price has been forming a bullish flag-like structure post-correction, stabilizing above the $104,000 level.
- Hidden Bullish Divergence (Price vs MACD): While price prints slightly lower lows, MACD is trending upward – indicating weakening selling pressure.
📈 Bullish Price Forecast:
⏳ 24-Hour Short-Term Forecast:
- Target 1: $106,800 (near-term breakout confirmation)
- Target 2: $108,300 (Fib resistance + prior swing high zone)
- Probability of Bullish Breakout (next 24h): 74%
🕰️ Medium-Term Outlook (3–5 Days):
- If bullish momentum confirms above $108,300, expect a surge toward $110,600 – $112,000, aligning with Fib 1.618 extensions and historical resistance zones.
- Consolidation support base solidifies at $104,000–$104,700.
📌 Strategic Insights:
Traders can watch for a confirmed breakout above $105,700 with volume and a 4H candle close to consider long entries. Stop-loss can be set below $104,000. The MACD histogram rising and MA compression suggest a potential volatility expansion in favor of the bulls.
🧠 Try the AI-based Chart Analyzer for Free!
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(Upcoming) Advanced Inference Model (based on TradingView chart backtesting) → Planned price: $599.99/month
Before it becomes paid, we are offering a lifetime free license to users who sign up through the links below and make their first deposit within the limited-time promotion period.
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📌 Important Notes
→ After switching to the paid model, the AI Chart Analyzer will remain permanently free for users who sign up through the above links and log in using their Bybit or Binance registered email addresses.
→ The upcoming advanced AI model is also designed to be accessed using those registered emails.