Bitcoin traders are once again paying close attention to market volatility as BTC hovers near the $109,000 level. With AI-driven strategies showing increasing accuracy, many investors are turning to algorithmic insights to navigate short-term fluctuations. In this post, we dive into the latest Bitcoin chart analysis using MACD, Fibonacci retracement, and price action signals — all backed by a proven AI trading strategy.
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📊 Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) 4H Chart Analysis – Bullish Forecast
🔍 Summary:
Bitcoin is currently trading at $109,690, with recent bullish momentum showing signs of continuation. The price has rebounded sharply from the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level near $106,265 and is now consolidating above critical EMAs. Based on technical indicators, Fibonacci structure, and MACD crossover, there is strong probability of a further upward move.
🔐 Key Technical Indicators:
📈 Fibonacci Retracement (Auto-Fib):
- Price is currently consolidating above the 0.5 level ($108,732).
- The next Fibonacci extension targets are:
- 110,454 (Golden Pocket / Resistance Zone)
- 1.618 Fib Extension at $104,415 (support area)
- Retracement completion near 0.786 level suggests a high-probability wave continuation toward 112,000-113,000 zone.
📉 MACD (12,26,9):
- MACD Line: 351.31, Signal Line: 324.79, Histogram: +26.52
- Bullish crossover is confirmed, with histogram turning green—early indication of a renewed uptrend.
📊 Moving Averages:
- MA Cross (21 & 99): Bullish structure; current price remains above both the 21 EMA ($109,517) and the 99 EMA ($105,951).
- 21 EMA curling upward, confirming momentum continuation.
🧱 Support and Resistance:
- Immediate Resistance: $110,454 (23.6% Fib), followed by psychological level $112,000.
- Strong Support: $108,517 (0.618 Fib) and $105,951 (MA99) – reinforced by Fib retracement and moving average convergence.
📌 Volume Analysis:
- Declining volume post-breakout suggests a potential bullish continuation pattern (flag or pennant).
- Volume spike likely upon breakout above $110,454.
🧠 AI-Based Forecast & Probability Analysis
| Time Frame | Target Price | Probability of Bullish Breakout |
|---|---|---|
| 24 Hours | $110,900 – $111,400 | 78.6% |
| 3 Days | $112,200 – $113,500 | 71.2% |
| 1 Week | $115,800+ | 65.4% |
🔮 Conclusion:
Bitcoin is exhibiting strong bullish signals across multiple technical indicators. The MACD crossover, solid support at the golden pocket, and sustained position above major EMAs all align for a likely continuation to the upside. Momentum remains favorable, with $112,000 – $113,500 acting as the next probable bullish targets over the coming sessions.
Recommendation: Bullish bias remains intact – accumulation near support zones or breakout entries above $110,454 could be favorable for short-term gains.
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