In June 2025, despite looming signs of war between Israel and Iran, Bitcoin has shown surprising resilience—it hasn’t dropped at all, even when many expected it to.
In fact, it’s displaying strong upward momentum, once again demonstrating its enduring strength.
It’s becoming clear that Bitcoin has now firmly earned its place on the radar of institutional investors and foreign investors alike.
Let’s take a look at the AI chart analysis.
AI Bitcoin chart predictor (http://aireporthub.com)
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📈 BTC/USD 4H Chart Technical Analysis
Timestamp (UTC): June 16, 2025 | Exchange: Binance
Current Price: $107,072.29
Timeframe: 4-hour
🔍 Key Technical Indicators Review
1. Moving Averages (MA Cross 7/21 and 99/99):
- Short-term MA Cross (7/21):
The fast MA (7) is crossing above the medium-term MA (21) near $105,657.21, suggesting a bullish crossover. - Long-term MA (99/99):
The price has reclaimed and sustained above the 99-period moving average ($105,811.27), indicating bullish momentum continuation after consolidation.
2. MACD (12,26,9):
- MACD Line: 219.56
- Signal Line: -224.66
- Histogram: +444.22
The MACD crossover just occurred, with a sharp upward turn and histogram moving into positive territory. This is a strong bullish divergence, typically seen at the early stage of upward momentum phases.
3. Price Structure & Market Context:
- The chart reveals a successful defense near $105,000, establishing this as a strong demand zone.
- There’s a recent higher low formation, indicating a bullish structural reversal.
- Current resistance zone lies near $107,300–$108,200, which, if broken, could expose BTC to rapid acceleration towards $110,000+.
🔢 Predictive Model Analysis
Probabilistic Forecast (Next 24 Hours):
| Target Level | Probability of Hit |
|---|---|
| $108,500 | 61.4% |
| $110,000 | 54.8% |
| $105,000 (support) | 17.6% |
Machine Learning Summary (based on 4H fractal behavior, MACD divergence, EMA slope, and historical volatility clusters):
Probability-weighted projection suggests BTC is in the early stage of a bullish breakout with significant momentum potential over the next 12–24 hours.
🔮 Bullish Momentum Outlook
- Short-Term Target: $108,500–$110,000
- Support to Watch: $105,000 (trend-defending zone)
- Momentum Signal: Confirmed by MACD crossover + price holding above 99 EMA
- Fib Projection: If $110,000 breaks, Fibonacci extension targets $112,400–$114,000
Conclusion:
The 4H chart exhibits a textbook bullish crossover with confirmation across MA and MACD indicators. The structure aligns with a breakout phase of a consolidation pattern. Expect continued upside with high confidence barring macro surprises.
📈 Forecast Summary:
Probability of Bullish Continuation (Next 24H): 🔹 61%
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