Over the past week, Bitcoin’s price movement has been relatively subdued, resulting in a low-volatility period.
While high volatility tends to offer more opportunities for significant profits, the lack of major movement made this past week more of a “wait-and-see” situation.
Although I managed to earn small gains through minor trades, it was a bit disappointing as there weren’t any big changes to capitalize on.
For June overall, my trading closed with around 1,200% in total returns, achieving about 13x profits, which made it a solid month regardless.
Now, heading into July, I’m contemplating whether I should take on more risk by increasing leverage. Still, since 30x is already a very high leverage level, I might stick with the current strategy as long as I can hit a target return of about 10x.
Since today marks the first day of July, let’s take a look at the AI analysis for the day.
AI Bitcoin chart predictor (http://aireporthub.com)
✅ Automatic chart analysis from image uploads – Easy to use, even for beginners
✅ Calculates probability of price increase/decrease – High-precision prediction algorithm based on backtesting
✅ Analysis based on essential indicators like MACD, RSI, Fibonacci – Fully quantified insights
🔍 4H BTC/USD Analysis (Binance)
Timeframe: 4H
Exchange: Binance
Price at analysis: $106,823.28
Timestamp (UTC): 06:42:38, July 1, 2025
📈 Technical Overview
🔸 Moving Averages (MA)
- Short-Term (MA Cross 9/21): The latest crossover is bearish, signaling a short-term correction phase.
- Long-Term (MA Cross 99/21): The price is hovering just above the 99-period MA (yellow), indicating tentative long-term bullish structure still intact.
Key Levels:
- Support: $105,572.62 (99 EMA), $105,501.47 (local base)
- Resistance: $107,555.59, followed by a psychological barrier at $110,000
🔸 MACD (12, 26, 9)
- MACD Line: 159.12
- Signal Line: 338.36
- Histogram: -179.24 → Bearish momentum increasing
Though currently in a bearish phase, the histogram has started flattening, suggesting momentum to the downside is losing steam.
🔮 Short-Term Forecast (24 Hours)
Despite a minor correction, the bullish structure remains protected unless $105,500 is breached. Based on the current positioning above key long-term MAs and the tapering MACD bearish divergence, we forecast:
📊 24-Hour Prediction:
- Probability of bullish continuation: 62.6%
- Target Upside: $108,400 – $109,200
- Support holding zone: $105,500 – $106,000
📅 Mid-Term Forecast (Next 3–7 Days)
If BTC maintains structure above the $105.5K zone and regains short-term momentum (indicated by MACD crossover or RSI upturn, not shown here), we expect a retest of the upper resistance near $110,000 and possible breakout:
📊 Mid-Term Bullish Target:
- $110,800 – $112,000
- Probability of breakout within 7 days: 64.2%
🔧 Summary of Indicators:
| Indicator | Signal | Status |
|---|---|---|
| 9/21 MA Cross | Bearish | Short-term pullback |
| 99 MA | Bullish | Price still above |
| MACD | Bearish (cooling) | Weakening momentum |
| Price Structure | Bullish | Higher-low intact |
📌 Actionable Insight:
If BTC remains above $105.5K, there is strong bullish continuation potential. Watch for MACD crossover and 9/21 MA bullish flip for confirmation of the next wave.
🧠 Try the AI-based Chart Analyzer for Free!
The AI Chart Analyzer will soon switch to a paid model.
Current Basic Model → Planned price: $129.99/month
(Upcoming) Advanced Inference Model (based on TradingView chart backtesting) → Planned price: $599.99/month
Before it becomes paid, we are offering a lifetime free license to users who sign up through the links below and make their first deposit within the limited-time promotion period.
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📌 Important Notes
→ After switching to the paid model, the AI Chart Analyzer will remain permanently free for users who sign up through the above links and log in using their Bybit or Binance registered email addresses.
→ The upcoming advanced AI model is also designed to be accessed using those registered emails.
