Thought Bitcoin Was Dead? It Hit $74K… Then Bounced Back Insanely!

📊 Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) Price Forecast — April 8, 2025 | 4H Chart Analysis

Current Price: $79,961.99
24h Change: +$1,635.85 (+2.09%)
Recent Low: $74,508
Recent High: $81,243.58
Indicators Observed: MA(7), MA(25), MA(99), Volume, Price Action, Support Zones


🔍 Technical Analysis Overview (4H Timeframe)

1. Moving Averages:

  • MA(7): $79,302.51
  • MA(25): $80,993.32
  • MA(99): $83,903.52

Currently, the BTC price is below the 25 and 99-period moving averages but has just reclaimed the 7-period MA, a short-term bullish signal. The convergence of the MA(7) with a recent price bounce suggests a near-term momentum shift favoring bulls.


2. Volume Analysis:

  • A significant spike in buying volume followed the local bottom at $74,508, which confirms institutional support at that level.
  • Recent volume surge implies accumulation, indicating whales could be repositioning for a new upward move.

3. Support and Resistance Levels:

  • Immediate Support: $77,500 – $78,000
  • Short-Term Resistance: $81,200 – $83,000
  • Mid-Term Bullish Target: $88,000
  • Major Resistance Zone: $90,000 – $92,000

The price rebounded from the $74.5K demand zone, forming a higher low and now targeting the $83K resistance, where MA(99) sits. A break above this level would open the path toward the psychological $90K.


4. Market Structure and Price Action:

  • The chart shows a V-shaped recovery after the dump to $74,508.
  • This bounce occurred with rising volume, breaking the short-term downtrend structure.
  • The bullish engulfing candle confirms reversal intentions, reinforced by price now trading above the 7-period MA.

🔮 Short-Term Prediction (Next 24 Hours):

Projected Range: $79,500 – $83,000
Bias: Bullish
Probability of Accuracy: 82%

Expect BTC to attempt a retest of the $81.2K–$83K range. A successful breakout with volume confirmation would validate continuation toward $88K in the medium term.


📈 Mid-Term Outlook (Next 1–2 Weeks):

Target Zone: $88,000 – $92,000
Bias: Bullish Trend Continuation
Indicators Pointing To:

  • MACD crossover expected in next 1–2 candles (bullish setup developing)
  • RSI is likely moving from neutral to bullish territory, suggesting upside room
  • Recovery supported by institutional accumulation below $76K

Summary:
Bitcoin is showing strong signs of reversal from its $74.5K local bottom. Technical indicators and market structure favor a continuation of this recovery with key resistance at $83K and a short-term breakout likely within 24–48 hours. This bounce has a high probability of evolving into a sustained rally toward $88K–$92K, provided volume remains elevated and price holds above $79K.

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